Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.020737 0.024173 0.027966 0.032458 0.037629 0.043388 0.050286
2025-11-02 0.014926 0.019194 0.024348 0.031012 0.039382 0.049523 0.062723
2025-11-09 0.011299 0.015837 0.021764 0.030032 0.041222 0.055787 0.076120
2025-11-16 0.009056 0.013700 0.020201 0.029894 0.043891 0.063266 0.091991
2025-11-23 0.007228 0.011723 0.018424 0.029032 0.045269 0.069010 0.106129
2025-11-30 0.006354 0.010961 0.018222 0.030337 0.049845 0.079758 0.128720
2025-12-07 0.005403 0.009879 0.017311 0.030338 0.052325 0.087551 0.147695
2025-12-14 0.004475 0.008652 0.015939 0.029322 0.052937 0.092364 0.162385
2025-12-21 0.003837 0.007814 0.015079 0.029008 0.054612 0.099001 0.180719
2025-12-28 0.003562 0.007599 0.015284 0.030597 0.059782 0.112091 0.211485
2026-01-04 0.003235 0.007221 0.015119 0.031450 0.063678 0.123315 0.240105
2026-01-11 0.002770 0.006476 0.014122 0.030535 0.064081 0.128173 0.257532
2026-01-18 0.002422 0.005925 0.013449 0.030207 0.065654 0.135524 0.280750
2026-01-25 0.002072 0.005307 0.012539 0.029250 0.065826 0.140185 0.299289
2026-02-01 0.001792 0.004799 0.011788 0.028520 0.066362 0.145605 0.319913
2026-02-08 0.001599 0.004467 0.011380 0.028489 0.068386 0.154262 0.348075
2026-02-15 0.001388 0.004047 0.010697 0.027716 0.068645 0.159202 0.368895
2026-02-22 0.001316 0.003981 0.010862 0.028992 0.073761 0.175187 0.415262
2026-03-01 0.001187 0.003734 0.010536 0.029006 0.075894 0.184768 0.448411
2026-03-08 0.001030 0.003376 0.009863 0.028040 0.075517 0.188586 0.468874
2026-03-15 0.000921 0.003137 0.009469 0.027742 0.076761 0.196292 0.499123
2026-03-22 0.000891 0.003137 0.009737 0.029267 0.082857 0.216175 0.560210
2026-03-29 0.000838 0.003052 0.009749 0.030085 0.087202 0.232235 0.613611